EUR/GBP: RSI 28.14 (1st pct)

On 2026-07-07, EUR/GBP closed at 0.85418, down 0.27% on the day. It trades at 2.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 28.14 is in the 1st percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -1.20% in the 24th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -0.7% of open interest, in the 98th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.85418  -0.270%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 28.14 (1st pct, since 1999 (7140 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals align EUR/GBP down: 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-07, prior 2026-07-06)
    close       0.85418
    change      -0.00231  (-0.270%, -23.1 pips)
    gap         -0.00228  (-22.8 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-07)
    range       0.00202  (20.2 pips)
    close pos   43.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-07)
     20d MA     0.86189   price below by -0.89%
     50d MA     0.86400   price below by -1.14%
    200d MA     0.86968   price below by -1.78%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-07)
    20d stdev   0.225% daily ≈ 3.6% annualized (×√252)   (6th pct of own history, since 1999 (7134 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.83× (0.225% vs 0.270% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-07)
    ATR(14)    0.00304  (30.4 pips)
    ATR%        0.36%   (2nd pct of own history, since 1999 (7140 obs))
    range/ATR   66.3%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-07)
    high        0.88653   (-3.65% from high)
    low         0.85330   (+0.10% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-07)
    RSI(14)     28.14   (1st pct of own history, since 1999 (7140 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-07)
     5d return  -0.83%
    20d return  -1.20%
    60d return  -1.86%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2703%
  positioning      (as of 2026-06-30)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -249 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -0.7%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 131w)
    w/w change  +2,058
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-07)
    vs DXY      -0.06
    vs S&P 500  +0.25
    vs DXY beta -0.03 (26w)