On 2026-07-03, USD/JPY closed at 161.449, down 0.67% on the day. It trades at 91.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 57.51 is in the 69th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.91% in the 62nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.5% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 161.449 -0.671%
price & change (as of 2026-07-03, prior 2026-07-02)
close 161.449
change -1.090 (-0.671%, -109.0 pips)
gap -1.135 (-113.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-03)
range 0.874 (87.4 pips)
close pos 94.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-03)
20d MA 161.127 price above by +0.20%
50d MA 159.615 price above by +1.15%
200d MA 156.679 price above by +3.04%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-03)
20d stdev 0.232% daily (2nd pct of own history)
vs easing-2024 avg 0.39× (0.232% vs 0.597% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-03)
ATR(14) 0.762 (76.2 pips)
ATR% 0.47% (2nd pct of own history)
range/ATR 114.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-03)
high 162.836 (-0.85% from high)
low 145.856 (+10.69% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-03)
RSI(14) 57.51 (69th pct of own history)
returns (as of 2026-07-03)
5d return -0.22%
20d return +0.91%
60d return +1.47%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5968%
positioning (as of 2026-06-23)
next COT as of 2026-06-30 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes) — newer data due
net -97,092 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 130w)
w/w change -320
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-02)
vs DXY +0.56
vs S&P 500 -0.11
vs DXY beta +0.77 (26w)