On 2026-07-06, USD/JPY closed at 161.452, unchanged on the day. It trades at 91.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 57.55 is in the 69th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.70% in the 59th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -26.3% of open interest, in the 16th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 161.452 +0.002% · 20d vol 0.229% daily (1st pct, since 1996 (7666 obs))
cross-signal: signals align USD/JPY up: positioning net%OI, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-07-06, prior 2026-07-03)
close 161.452
change +0.003 (+0.002%, +0.3 pips)
gap +0.038 (+3.8 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-06)
range 0.959 (95.9 pips)
close pos n/a (close 1.3 pips below low — async-close artifact)
moving averages (as of 2026-07-06)
20d MA 161.183 price above by +0.17%
50d MA 159.652 price above by +1.13%
200d MA 156.742 price above by +3.00%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-06)
20d stdev 0.229% daily (1st pct of own history)
vs easing-2024 avg 0.38× (0.229% vs 0.596% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-06)
ATR(14) 0.778 (77.8 pips)
ATR% 0.48% (2nd pct of own history)
range/ATR 123.3%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-06)
high 162.836 (-0.85% from high)
low 145.856 (+10.69% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-06)
RSI(14) 57.55 (69th pct of own history)
returns (as of 2026-07-06)
5d return -0.21%
20d return +0.70%
60d return +1.11%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5964%
positioning (as of 2026-06-30)
next COT as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -115,400 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -26.3%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 131w)
w/w change -18,308
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-06)
vs DXY +0.56
vs S&P 500 -0.11
vs DXY beta +0.78 (26w)