On 2026-07-07, USD/JPY closed at 162.088, up 0.39% on the day. It trades at 95.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 64.01 is in the 85th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.19% in the 66th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -26.3% of open interest, in the 16th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.088 +0.394% · 20d vol 0.240% daily (2nd pct, since 1996 (7667 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-07-07, prior 2026-07-06)
close 162.088
change +0.636 (+0.394%, +63.6 pips)
gap +0.643 (+64.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-07)
range 0.485 (48.5 pips)
close pos 82.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-07)
20d MA 161.278 price above by +0.50%
50d MA 159.707 price above by +1.49%
200d MA 156.803 price above by +3.37%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-07)
20d stdev 0.240% daily ≈ 3.8% annualized (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7667 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.40× (0.240% vs 0.596% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-07)
ATR(14) 0.774 (77.4 pips)
ATR% 0.48% (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7673 obs))
range/ATR 62.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-07)
high 162.836 (-0.46% from high)
low 145.856 (+11.13% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-07)
RSI(14) 64.01 (85th pct of own history, since 1996 (7673 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-07)
5d return +0.10%
20d return +1.19%
60d return +1.81%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5961%
positioning (as of 2026-06-30)
next COT as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -115,400 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -26.3%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 131w)
w/w change -18,308
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-07)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.11
vs DXY beta +0.76 (26w)