On 2026-07-08, USD/JPY closed at 162.363, up 0.17% on the day. It trades at 97.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 66.39 is in the 89th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.23% in the 67th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -26.3% of open interest, in the 16th percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.363 +0.170% · 20d vol 0.241% daily (2nd pct, since 1996 (7668 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-07-08, prior 2026-07-07)
close 162.363
change +0.275 (+0.170%, +27.5 pips)
gap +0.274 (+27.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-08)
range 0.618 (61.8 pips)
close pos 45.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-08)
20d MA 161.377 price above by +0.61%
50d MA 159.763 price above by +1.63%
200d MA 156.868 price above by +3.50%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-08)
20d stdev 0.241% daily ≈ 3.8% annualized (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7668 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.40× (0.241% vs 0.596% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-08)
ATR(14) 0.762 (76.2 pips)
ATR% 0.47% (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7674 obs))
range/ATR 81.0%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-08)
high 162.836 (-0.29% from high)
low 145.856 (+11.32% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-08)
RSI(14) 66.39 (89th pct of own history, since 1996 (7674 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-08)
5d return -0.16%
20d return +1.23%
60d return +2.25%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5957%
positioning (as of 2026-06-30)
next COT as of 2026-07-07 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -115,400 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -26.3%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 131w)
w/w change -18,308
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-08)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.11
vs DXY beta +0.76 (26w)