USD/JPY: 98.3% of its 52-week range

On 2026-07-09, USD/JPY closed at 162.539, up 0.11% on the day. It trades at 98.3% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 67.86 is in the 91st percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.25% in the 67th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.6% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range.

=== USD/JPY  (pip 0.01) ===
  >> close 162.539  +0.108%   · 52wk position 98.3% of range (52wk)
     cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: 20d return, daily %
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-09, prior 2026-07-08)
    close       162.539
    change      +0.176  (+0.108%, +17.6 pips)
    gap         +0.147  (+14.7 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-09)
    range       0.318  (31.8 pips)
    close pos   91.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-09)
     20d MA     161.478   price above by +0.66%
     50d MA     159.810   price above by +1.71%
    200d MA     156.938   price above by +3.57%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-09)
    20d stdev   0.241% daily ≈ 3.8% annualized (×√252)   (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7669 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.41× (0.241% vs 0.595% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-09)
    ATR(14)    0.731  (73.1 pips)
    ATR%        0.45%   (1st pct of own history, since 1996 (7675 obs))
    range/ATR   43.5%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-09)
    high        162.836   (-0.18% from high)
    low         145.856   (+11.44% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-09)
    RSI(14)     67.86   (91st pct of own history, since 1996 (7675 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-09)
     5d return  +0.00%
    20d return  +1.25%
    60d return  +2.35%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.8804%   (from 1996-10-30)
    ZIRP-2009        0.6396%
    tightening-2015  0.5829%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4159%
    tightening-2022  0.6795%
    easing-2024      0.5952%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-07)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -90,083 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
    net % OI    -22.6%
    net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 132w)
    w/w change  +25,317
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-09)
    vs DXY      +0.54
    vs S&P 500  -0.11
    vs DXY beta +0.76 (26w)