On 2026-07-10, USD/JPY closed at 162.363, down 0.11% on the day. It trades at 97.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 64.81 is in the 87th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.39% in the 69th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.6% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.59 / 159.918 / 157.01, with price +0.48% / +1.53% / +3.41% against them. Its 52-week range is 145.856–162.836; it closed 0.29% below the high and 11.32% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.234% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.768 (76.8 pips), 0.47% of price. It has returned +0.57% over 5 days and +1.99% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.363 -0.108% · 20d vol 0.234% daily (2nd pct, since 1996 (7670 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-10, prior 2026-07-09)
close 162.363
change -0.176 (-0.108%, -17.6 pips)
gap -0.204 (-20.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-10)
range 1.127 (112.7 pips)
close pos 95.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-10)
20d MA 161.590 price above by +0.48%
50d MA 159.918 price above by +1.53%
200d MA 157.010 price above by +3.41%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-10)
20d stdev 0.234% daily ≈ 3.7% annualized (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7670 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.39× (0.234% vs 0.595% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-10)
ATR(14) 0.768 (76.8 pips)
ATR% 0.47% (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7676 obs))
range/ATR 146.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-10)
high 162.836 (-0.29% from high)
low 145.856 (+11.32% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-10)
RSI(14) 64.81 (87th pct of own history, since 1996 (7676 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-10)
5d return +0.57%
20d return +1.39%
60d return +1.99%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5948%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,083 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.6%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 132w)
w/w change +25,317
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-10)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.11
vs DXY beta +0.76 (26w)