On 2026-07-10, USD/CAD closed at 1.41624, down 0.03% on the day. It trades at 88.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 61.94 is in the 84th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.36% in the 76th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -23.6% of open interest, in the 33rd percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.41562 / 1.39317 / 1.38488, with price +0.04% / +1.66% / +2.26% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 0.60% below the high and 5.03% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.232% daily, in the 4th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00566 (56.6 pips), 0.40% of price. It has returned -0.20% over 5 days and +3.37% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.41624 -0.032% · 20d vol 0.232% daily (4th pct, since 2003 (5911 obs))
price & change (as of 2026-07-10, prior 2026-07-09)
close 1.41624
change -0.00046 (-0.032%, -4.6 pips)
gap -0.00022 (-2.2 pips)
range (as of 2026-07-10)
range 0.00383 (38.3 pips)
close pos 77.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-10)
20d MA 1.41562 price above by +0.04%
50d MA 1.39317 price above by +1.66%
200d MA 1.38488 price above by +2.26%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-10)
20d stdev 0.232% daily ≈ 3.7% annualized (×√252) (4th pct of own history, since 2003 (5911 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.71× (0.232% vs 0.328% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-10)
ATR(14) 0.00566 (56.6 pips)
ATR% 0.40% (1st pct of own history, since 2003 (5917 obs))
range/ATR 67.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-10)
high 1.42478 (-0.60% from high)
low 1.34840 (+5.03% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-10)
RSI(14) 61.94 (84th pct of own history, since 2003 (5917 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-10)
5d return -0.20%
20d return +1.36%
60d return +3.37%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3283%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -85,957 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -23.6%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 132w)
w/w change +2,144
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.62% (as of 2026-07-09, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (19 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-07-09, announced target)
next BoC 2026-07-15 (5 days)
differential +1.37% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-10)
vs DXY +0.49
vs S&P 500 -0.25
vs DXY beta +0.44 (26w)