On 2026-07-09, USD/CAD closed at 1.4167, down 0.26% on the day. It trades at 89.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 62.92 is in the 86th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.58% in the 79th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -23.6% of open interest, in the 33rd percentile of its own two-year range.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.41670 -0.257% · 20d vol 0.232% daily (4th pct, since 2003 (5910 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-09, prior 2026-07-08)
close 1.41670
change -0.00365 (-0.257%, -36.5 pips)
gap -0.00354 (-35.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-09)
range 0.00358 (35.8 pips)
close pos 39.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-09)
20d MA 1.41467 price above by +0.14%
50d MA 1.39200 price above by +1.77%
200d MA 1.38476 price above by +2.31%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-09)
20d stdev 0.232% daily ≈ 3.7% annualized (×√252) (4th pct of own history, since 2003 (5910 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.71× (0.232% vs 0.329% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-09)
ATR(14) 0.00580 (58.0 pips)
ATR% 0.41% (2nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5916 obs))
range/ATR 61.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-09)
high 1.42478 (-0.57% from high)
low 1.34840 (+5.07% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-09)
RSI(14) 62.92 (86th pct of own history, since 2003 (5916 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-09)
5d return -0.35%
20d return +1.58%
60d return +3.17%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3285%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -85,957 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -23.6%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 132w)
w/w change +2,144
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-09)
vs DXY +0.49
vs S&P 500 -0.25
vs DXY beta +0.44 (26w)