GBP/USD: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily

On 2026-07-15, GBP/USD closed at 1.33971, up 0.37% on the day. It trades at 46.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 55.16 is in the 66th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -0.22% in the 46th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +6.4% of open interest, in the 34th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.32938 / 1.33861 / 1.33959, with price +0.78% / +0.08% / +0.01% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 3.25% below the high and 2.96% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.387% daily, in the 19th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00833 (83.3 pips), 0.62% of price. It has returned +0.36% over 5 days and -0.83% over 60 days.

=== GBP/USD  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 1.33971  +0.369%
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-15, prior 2026-07-14)
    close       1.33971
    change      +0.00492  (+0.369%, +49.2 pips)
    gap         +0.00470  (+47.0 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-15)
    range       0.01150  (115.0 pips)
    close pos   12.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-15)
     20d MA     1.32938   price above by +0.78%
     50d MA     1.33861   price above by +0.08%
    200d MA     1.33959   price above by +0.01%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-15)
    20d stdev   0.387% daily ≈ 6.1% annualized (×√252)   (19th pct of own history, since 2003 (5844 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.89× (0.387% vs 0.432% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-15)
    ATR(14)    0.00833  (83.3 pips)
    ATR%        0.62%   (9th pct of own history, since 2003 (5850 obs))
    range/ATR   138.0%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-15)
    high        1.38468   (-3.25% from high)
    low         1.30117   (+2.96% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-15)
    RSI(14)     55.16   (66th pct of own history, since 2003 (5850 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-15)
     5d return  +0.36%
    20d return  -0.22%
    60d return  -0.83%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.6129%   (from 2003-12-01)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5765%
    tightening-2015  0.6404%
    ZIRP-2019        0.5553%
    tightening-2022  0.6549%
    easing-2024      0.4324%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-07)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         +17,979 contracts (net long GBP)
    net % OI    +6.4%
    net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 132w)
    w/w change  +1,706
  rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-07-15, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-07-30  (15 days)
    USD (EFFR)            3.63%  (as of 2026-07-15, daily effective)
    next Fed              2026-07-29  (14 days)
    differential    +0.12%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-15)
    vs DXY      -0.69
    vs S&P 500  +0.24
    vs DXY beta -0.74 (26w)