On 2026-07-16, GBP/USD closed at 1.35413, up 1.08% on the day. It trades at 63.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 65.45 is in the 91st percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.81% in the 79th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net +6.4% of open interest, in the 34th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.33058 / 1.33851 / 1.33962, with price +1.77% / +1.17% / +1.08% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.30117–1.38468; it closed 2.21% below the high and 4.07% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.395% daily, in the 21st percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00879 (87.9 pips), 0.65% of price. It has returned +1.08% over 5 days and +0.30% over 60 days.
=== GBP/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.35413 +1.076%
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 1.35413
change +0.01442 (+1.076%, +144.2 pips)
gap +0.01420 (+142.0 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 0.00639 (63.9 pips)
close pos 94.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 1.33058 price above by +1.77%
50d MA 1.33851 price above by +1.17%
200d MA 1.33962 price above by +1.08%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 0.395% daily ≈ 6.3% annualized (×√252) (21st pct of own history, since 2003 (5845 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.91× (0.395% vs 0.434% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 0.00879 (87.9 pips)
ATR% 0.65% (13th pct of own history, since 2003 (5851 obs))
range/ATR 72.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 1.38468 (-2.21% from high)
low 1.30117 (+4.07% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 65.45 (91st pct of own history, since 2003 (5851 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return +1.08%
20d return +1.81%
60d return +0.30%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6129% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.5765%
tightening-2015 0.6404%
ZIRP-2019 0.5553%
tightening-2022 0.6549%
easing-2024 0.4341%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net +17,979 contracts (net long GBP)
net % OI +6.4%
net%OI range -5.4% … +29.1% (own 132w)
w/w change +1,706
rate differential (GBP–USD policy)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-07-15, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-07-30 (14 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-15, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (13 days)
differential +0.12% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs DXY -0.70
vs S&P 500 +0.21
vs DXY beta -0.77 (26w)