FX daily report for reference date 2026-07-16. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT (as of 2026-07-16, config order)
close day % RSI (pct) 52wk 20d ret (pct) pos net%OI (pct)
EUR/USD 1.14703 +0.40% 51.4 (54th) 20.8% -0.32% (45th) -5.7% (14th)
GBP/USD 1.35413 +1.08% 65.5 (91st) 63.4% +1.81% (79th) +6.4% (34th)
USD/JPY 162.072 -0.07% 57.4 (69th) 95.4% +0.92% (62nd) -22.6% (25th)
USD/CHF 0.80466 -0.54% 50.6 (55th) 77.1% +0.66% (63rd) -6.7% (60th)
AUD/USD 0.70081 +0.45% 54.9 (64th) 68.8% -0.15% (47th) +14.5% (74th)
USD/CAD 1.40371 -0.10% 40.5 (22nd) 72.4% -0.44% (40th) -23.6% (33rd)
NZD/USD 0.58478 +0.59% 64.8 (89th) 51.8% +1.26% (66th) -24.0% (6th)
EUR/GBP 0.84694 -0.68% 20.1 (0th) 0.4% -2.10% (11th) -1.2% (97th)
EUR/HUF 358.835 +0.15% 62.3 (85th) 19.9% +2.32% (88th)
USD/HUF 313.14 -0.12% 58.0 (74th) 25.6% +2.82% (81st)
GBP/HUF 423.57 +0.82% 70.6 (97th) 33.4% +4.49% (94th)CHANGES (vs prior session) GBP/USD crossed above 200d MA (2nd consecutive close above) EUR/GBP new 52wk intraday low (0.84680) GBP/HUF RSI 70.6 — crossed above 70 (overbought boundary)
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = how far the reading sits from the pair's own median, 0–100 [0 = at median, 100 = an own-history extreme; = 2×|percentile − 50|] — symmetric, so a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — a magnitude, not a trading signal) EUR/GBP RSI(14) 20.12 (0th pct, since 1999 (7147 obs)) · surprise 100 GBP/HUF RSI(14) 70.58 (97th pct, since 2003 (5847 obs)) · surprise 94 USD/JPY 20d vol 0.257% daily (3rd pct, since 1996 (7674 obs)) · surprise 94 USD/CAD 20d vol 0.231% daily (4th pct, since 2003 (5915 obs)) · surprise 92
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-07-16) level 16.73 change +1.06 (+6.8%) (prior 2026-07-15) 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d) 1yr pctile 44th pctile (252d lookback)
dollar index (DXY) (as of 2026-07-16) (index close is async vs the pairs' UTC snapshot; daily change may not reconcile with the pairs below) level 100.752 change +0.252 (+0.25%) (prior 2026-07-15) 1yr range 96.220 … 101.610 (252d) 1yr pctile 93rd pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 98.996 price above by +1.77%
equity market (S&P 500) (as of 2026-07-16) level 7533.77 change -38.63 (-0.51%) (prior 2026-07-15) 1yr range 6238.01 … 7609.78 (252d) 1yr pctile 95th pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 6983.25 price above by +7.88%
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-07-16) >> ECB 2026-07-23 (7 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 0th pct) >> Fed 2026-07-29 (13 days) · cross-link: USD/JPY (20d vol 3rd pct), USD/CAD (20d vol 4th pct) >> BoE 2026-07-30 (14 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 0th pct), GBP/HUF (RSI(14) 97th pct) >> BoJ 2026-07-31 (15 days) · cross-link: USD/JPY (20d vol 3rd pct) >> BoC 2026-09-02 (48 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (20d vol 4th pct)