On 2026-07-16, USD/JPY closed at 162.072, down 0.07% on the day. It trades at 95.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 57.42 is in the 69th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.92% in the 62nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.6% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.958 / 160.325 / 157.282, with price +0.07% / +1.09% / +3.05% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–162.836; it closed 0.47% below the high and 10.84% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.257% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.713 (71.3 pips), 0.44% of price. It has returned -0.29% over 5 days and +1.62% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.072 -0.071% · 20d vol 0.257% daily (3rd pct, since 1996 (7674 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 162.072
change -0.115 (-0.071%, -11.5 pips)
gap -0.103 (-10.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 0.489 (48.9 pips)
close pos 18.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 161.958 price above by +0.07%
50d MA 160.325 price above by +1.09%
200d MA 157.282 price above by +3.05%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 0.257% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (3rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7674 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.43× (0.257% vs 0.593% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 0.713 (71.3 pips)
ATR% 0.44% (1st pct of own history, since 1996 (7680 obs))
range/ATR 68.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 162.836 (-0.47% from high)
low 146.217 (+10.84% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 57.42 (69th pct of own history, since 1996 (7680 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return -0.29%
20d return +0.92%
60d return +1.62%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5933%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,083 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.6%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 132w)
w/w change +25,317
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.75 (26w)