On 2026-07-15, USD/JPY closed at 162.187, down 0.15% on the day. It trades at 96.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 59.06 is in the 73rd percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.10% in the 65th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.6% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.884 / 160.213 / 157.223, with price +0.19% / +1.23% / +3.16% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–162.836; it closed 0.40% below the high and 10.92% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.256% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.73 (73 pips), 0.45% of price. It has returned -0.11% over 5 days and +1.77% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.187 -0.149% · 20d vol 0.256% daily (3rd pct, since 1996 (7673 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-15, prior 2026-07-14)
close 162.187
change -0.242 (-0.149%, -24.2 pips)
gap -0.242 (-24.2 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-15)
range 0.448 (44.8 pips)
close pos 49.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-15)
20d MA 161.884 price above by +0.19%
50d MA 160.213 price above by +1.23%
200d MA 157.223 price above by +3.16%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-15)
20d stdev 0.256% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (3rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7673 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.43× (0.256% vs 0.594% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-15)
ATR(14) 0.730 (73.0 pips)
ATR% 0.45% (1st pct of own history, since 1996 (7679 obs))
range/ATR 61.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-15)
high 162.836 (-0.40% from high)
low 146.217 (+10.92% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-15)
RSI(14) 59.06 (73rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7679 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-15)
5d return -0.11%
20d return +1.10%
60d return +1.77%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5937%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,083 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.6%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 132w)
w/w change +25,317
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.75 (26w)