On 2026-07-14, USD/JPY closed at 162.429, up 0.34% on the day. It trades at 97.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 62.58 is in the 82nd percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.37% in the 69th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.6% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 161.796 / 160.123 / 157.16, with price +0.39% / +1.44% / +3.35% against them. Its 52-week range is 145.856–162.836; it closed 0.25% below the high and 11.36% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.252% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.751 (75.1 pips), 0.46% of price. It has returned +0.21% over 5 days and +2.26% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.429 +0.340% · 52wk position 97.6% of range (52wk)
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-07-14, prior 2026-07-13)
close 162.429
change +0.551 (+0.340%, +55.1 pips)
gap +0.535 (+53.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-14)
range 0.771 (77.1 pips)
close pos 95.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-14)
20d MA 161.796 price above by +0.39%
50d MA 160.123 price above by +1.44%
200d MA 157.160 price above by +3.35%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-14)
20d stdev 0.252% daily ≈ 4.0% annualized (×√252) (3rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7672 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.42× (0.252% vs 0.594% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-14)
ATR(14) 0.751 (75.1 pips)
ATR% 0.46% (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7678 obs))
range/ATR 102.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-14)
high 162.836 (-0.25% from high)
low 145.856 (+11.36% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-14)
RSI(14) 62.58 (82nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7678 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-14)
5d return +0.21%
20d return +1.37%
60d return +2.26%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5942%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,083 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.6%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 132w)
w/w change +25,317
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-14)
vs DXY +0.54
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.75 (26w)