EUR/GBP: RSI 20.12 (0th pct)

On 2026-07-16, EUR/GBP closed at 0.84694, down 0.68% on the day. It trades at 0.4% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 20.12 is in the 0th percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -2.10% in the 11th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -1.2% of open interest, in the 97th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.85781 / 0.86226 / 0.86898, with price -1.27% / -1.78% / -2.54% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.8468–0.88653; it closed 4.47% below the high and 0.02% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.254% daily, in the 11th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00332 (33.2 pips), 0.39% of price. It has returned -0.65% over 5 days and -2.32% over 60 days.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.84694  -0.680%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 20.12 (0th pct, since 1999 (7147 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals align EUR/GBP down: daily %, 20d return
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
    close       0.84694
    change      -0.00580  (-0.680%, -58.0 pips)
    gap         -0.00555  (-55.5 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-16)
    range       0.00244  (24.4 pips)
    close pos   5.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-16)
     20d MA     0.85781   price below by -1.27%
     50d MA     0.86226   price below by -1.78%
    200d MA     0.86898   price below by -2.54%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-16)
    20d stdev   0.254% daily ≈ 4.0% annualized (×√252)   (11th pct of own history, since 1999 (7141 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.94× (0.254% vs 0.270% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-16)
    ATR(14)    0.00332  (33.2 pips)
    ATR%        0.39%   (3rd pct of own history, since 1999 (7147 obs))
    range/ATR   73.6%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-16)
    high        0.88653   (-4.47% from high)
    low         0.84680   (+0.02% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-16)
    RSI(14)     20.12   (0th pct of own history, since 1999 (7147 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-16)
     5d return  -0.65%
    20d return  -2.10%
    60d return  -2.32%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2703%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-07)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -468 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -1.2%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 132w)
    w/w change  -219
  rate differential (EUR–GBP policy)
    EUR (ECB_DFR)         2.25%  (set 2026-06-17, deposit-facility floor)
    next ECB              2026-07-23  (7 days)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-07-15, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-07-30  (14 days)
    differential    -1.50%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-16)
    vs DXY      -0.04
    vs S&P 500  +0.24
    vs DXY beta -0.02 (26w)