EUR/GBP: RSI 28.99 (2nd pct)

On 2026-07-17, EUR/GBP closed at 0.84919, up 0.27% on the day. It trades at 6.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 28.99 is in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -2.15% in the 10th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -1.4% of open interest, in the 97th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.85687 / 0.86194 / 0.86889, with price -0.90% / -1.48% / -2.27% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.8468–0.88653; it closed 4.21% below the high and 0.28% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.249% daily, in the 10th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00339 (33.9 pips), 0.40% of price. It has returned -0.37% over 5 days and -2.12% over 60 days.

=== EUR/GBP  (pip 0.0001) ===
  >> close 0.84919  +0.266%   · price < all MAs; RSI(14) 28.99 (2nd pct, since 1999 (7148 obs))
     cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
  price & change   (as of 2026-07-17, prior 2026-07-16)
    close       0.84919
    change      +0.00225  (+0.266%, +22.5 pips)
    gap         +0.00202  (+20.2 pips)  (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
  range            (as of 2026-07-17)
    range       0.00237  (23.7 pips)
    close pos   9.7% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-07-17)
     20d MA     0.85687   price below by -0.90%
     50d MA     0.86194   price below by -1.48%
    200d MA     0.86889   price below by -2.27%
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
  volatility       (as of 2026-07-17)
    20d stdev   0.249% daily ≈ 4.0% annualized (×√252)   (10th pct of own history, since 1999 (7142 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.92× (0.249% vs 0.270% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-07-17)
    ATR(14)    0.00339  (33.9 pips)
    ATR%        0.40%   (4th pct of own history, since 1999 (7148 obs))
    range/ATR   69.9%
  52-week range    (as of 2026-07-17)
    high        0.88653   (-4.21% from high)
    low         0.84680   (+0.28% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-07-17)
    RSI(14)     28.99   (2nd pct of own history, since 1999 (7148 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-07-17)
     5d return  -0.37%
    20d return  -2.15%
    60d return  -2.12%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       0.4968%   (from 1999-01-04)
    ZIRP-2009        0.5520%
    tightening-2015  0.5609%
    ZIRP-2019        0.4735%
    tightening-2022  0.8002%
    easing-2024      0.2703%
  positioning      (as of 2026-07-14)
    next COT     as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
    net         -558 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
    source      standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
    net % OI    -1.4%
    net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 133w)
    w/w change  -90
  rate differential (EUR–GBP policy)
    EUR (ECB_DFR)         2.25%  (set 2026-06-17, deposit-facility floor)
    next ECB              2026-07-23  (6 days)
    GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE)   3.75%  (as of 2026-07-16, official Bank Rate)
    next BoE              2026-07-30  (13 days)
    differential    -1.50%  (base−quote)
  cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude)  (as of 2026-07-17)
    vs DXY      -0.05
    vs S&P 500  +0.25
    vs DXY beta -0.02 (26w)