FX daily report for reference date 2026-07-17. Covers 11 instruments with daily price action, momentum (RSI), volatility (ATR), 52-week range position, positioning, and the central-bank decision horizon. Facts only — reporting, not advice.
CROSS-PAIR SNAPSHOT (as of 2026-07-17, config order)
close day % RSI (pct) 52wk 20d ret (pct) pos net%OI (pct)
EUR/USD 1.14447 -0.22% 47.9 (44th) 17.1% -0.12% (48th) -6.7% (8th)
GBP/USD 1.34789 -0.46% 59.1 (78th) 55.9% +2.10% (83rd) +10.8% (47th)
USD/JPY 162.376 +0.19% 60.5 (77th) 97.2% +0.67% (58th) -22.8% (24th)
USD/CHF 0.80831 +0.45% 55.1 (68th) 83.9% +0.42% (59th) -8.8% (54th)
AUD/USD 0.69994 -0.12% 53.4 (59th) 67.8% -0.20% (46th) +13.1% (72nd)
USD/CAD 1.4037 -0.00% 40.5 (22nd) 72.4% -0.73% (35th) -25.2% (27th)
NZD/USD 0.58418 -0.10% 63.5 (87th) 50.6% +1.51% (68th) -24.5% (5th)
EUR/GBP 0.84919 +0.27% 29.0 (2nd) 6.0% -2.15% (10th) -1.4% (97th)
EUR/HUF 361.717 +0.80% 68.3 (95th) 25.4% +2.86% (92nd)
USD/HUF 315.673 +0.81% 63.0 (85th) 30.5% +2.77% (80th)
GBP/HUF 425.93 +0.56% 73.4 (98th) 37.3% +5.10% (96th)CHANGES (vs prior session) NZD/USD crossed above 200d MA (2nd consecutive close above)
NOTABLE TODAY (most extreme vs each pair's own history; surprise = how far the reading sits from the pair's own median, 0–100 [0 = at median, 100 = an own-history extreme; = 2×|percentile − 50|] — symmetric, so a deep-oversold reading scores as high as a deep-overbought one — a magnitude, not a trading signal) GBP/HUF RSI(14) 73.38 (98th pct, since 2003 (5848 obs)) · surprise 96 EUR/GBP RSI(14) 28.99 (2nd pct, since 1999 (7148 obs)) · surprise 96 USD/JPY 20d vol 0.244% daily (2nd pct, since 1996 (7675 obs)) · surprise 96 USD/CAD 20d vol 0.219% daily (3rd pct, since 2003 (5916 obs)) · surprise 94 NZD/USD positioning net%OI -24.5% (5th pct — near bottom of own 133w range (band bottoms at -27.1%)) · surprise 90
market risk (VIX) (as of 2026-07-17) level 18.77 change +2.04 (+12.2%) (prior 2026-07-16) 1yr range 13.47 … 31.05 (252d) 1yr pctile 71st pctile (252d lookback)
dollar index (DXY) (as of 2026-07-17) (index close is async vs the pairs' UTC snapshot; daily change may not reconcile with the pairs below) level 100.750 change +0.020 (+0.02%) (prior 2026-07-16) 1yr range 96.220 … 101.610 (252d) 1yr pctile 93rd pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 99.010 price above by +1.76%
equity market (S&P 500) (as of 2026-07-17) level 7457.69 change -76.08 (-1.01%) (prior 2026-07-16) 1yr range 6238.01 … 7609.78 (252d) 1yr pctile 89th pctile (252d lookback) 200d MA 6987.23 price above by +6.73%
=== CENTRAL BANK HORIZON (for pairs at historical extremes) === (days remaining from reference date 2026-07-17) >> ECB 2026-07-23 (6 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 2nd pct) >> Fed 2026-07-29 (12 days) · cross-link: USD/JPY (20d vol 2nd pct), USD/CAD (20d vol 3rd pct), NZD/USD (positioning net%OI 5th pct — near bottom of own 133w range (band bottoms at -27.1%)) >> BoE 2026-07-30 (13 days) · cross-link: EUR/GBP (RSI(14) 2nd pct), GBP/HUF (RSI(14) 98th pct) >> BoJ 2026-07-31 (14 days) · cross-link: USD/JPY (20d vol 2nd pct) >> BoC 2026-09-02 (47 days) · cross-link: USD/CAD (20d vol 3rd pct) >> RBNZ 2026-09-02 (47 days) · cross-link: NZD/USD (positioning net%OI 5th pct — near bottom of own 133w range (band bottoms at -27.1%))