On 2026-07-17, NZD/USD closed at 0.58418, down 0.10% on the day. It trades at 50.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 63.53 is in the 87th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.51% in the 68th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.5% of open interest, in the 5th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.57161 / 0.58078 / 0.58195, with price +2.20% / +0.59% / +0.38% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 4.13% below the high and 4.61% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.447% daily, in the 10th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00518 (51.8 pips), 0.89% of price. It has returned +1.38% over 5 days and -0.20% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58418 -0.103% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -24.5% (5th pct — near bottom of own 133w range (band bottoms at -27.1%))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-17, prior 2026-07-16)
close 0.58418
change -0.00060 (-0.103%, -6.0 pips)
gap -0.00050 (-5.0 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-17)
range 0.00229 (22.9 pips)
close pos 66.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-17)
20d MA 0.57161 price above by +2.20%
50d MA 0.58078 price above by +0.59%
200d MA 0.58195 price above by +0.38%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-17)
20d stdev 0.447% daily ≈ 7.1% annualized (×√252) (10th pct of own history, since 2003 (5832 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.75× (0.447% vs 0.597% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-17)
ATR(14) 0.00518 (51.8 pips)
ATR% 0.89% (25th pct of own history, since 2003 (5838 obs))
range/ATR 44.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-17)
high 0.60933 (-4.13% from high)
low 0.55842 (+4.61% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-17)
RSI(14) 63.53 (87th pct of own history, since 2003 (5838 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-17)
5d return +1.38%
20d return +1.51%
60d return -0.20%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.9269% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.8375%
tightening-2015 0.6352%
ZIRP-2019 0.6132%
tightening-2022 0.7299%
easing-2024 0.5966%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -29,002 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -24.5%
net%OI range -27.1% … +28.5% (own 133w)
w/w change -1,801
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (47 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-16, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (12 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-17)
vs DXY -0.78
vs S&P 500 +0.33
vs DXY beta -1.29 (26w)