On 2026-07-16, NZD/USD closed at 0.58478, up 0.59% on the day. It trades at 51.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 64.78 is in the 89th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +1.26% in the 66th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.0% of open interest, in the 6th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.57118 / 0.58097 / 0.58193, with price +2.38% / +0.66% / +0.49% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 4.03% below the high and 4.72% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.455% daily, in the 12th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.0054 (54 pips), 0.92% of price. It has returned +2.31% over 5 days and -0.98% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58478 +0.590%
price & change (as of 2026-07-16, prior 2026-07-15)
close 0.58478
change +0.00343 (+0.590%, +34.3 pips)
gap +0.00355 (+35.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-16)
range 0.00239 (23.9 pips)
close pos 54.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-16)
20d MA 0.57118 price above by +2.38%
50d MA 0.58097 price above by +0.66%
200d MA 0.58193 price above by +0.49%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-16)
20d stdev 0.455% daily ≈ 7.2% annualized (×√252) (12th pct of own history, since 2003 (5831 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.76× (0.455% vs 0.597% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-16)
ATR(14) 0.00540 (54.0 pips)
ATR% 0.92% (30th pct of own history, since 2003 (5837 obs))
range/ATR 44.3%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-16)
high 0.60933 (-4.03% from high)
low 0.55842 (+4.72% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-16)
RSI(14) 64.78 (89th pct of own history, since 2003 (5837 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-16)
5d return +2.31%
20d return +1.26%
60d return -0.98%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.9269% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.8375%
tightening-2015 0.6352%
ZIRP-2019 0.6132%
tightening-2022 0.7299%
easing-2024 0.5970%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -27,201 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -24.0%
net%OI range -27.1% … +28.5% (own 132w)
w/w change -1,916
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (48 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-15, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (13 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-16)
vs DXY -0.78
vs S&P 500 +0.35
vs DXY beta -1.29 (26w)