On 2026-07-15, NZD/USD closed at 0.58135, up 0.87% on the day. It trades at 45.0% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 60.69 is in the 80th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -0.30% in the 45th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -24.0% of open interest, in the 6th percentile of its own two-year range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.57081 / 0.58118 / 0.58193, with price +1.85% / +0.03% / -0.10% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 4.59% below the high and 4.11% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.492% daily, in the 18th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00547 (54.7 pips), 0.94% of price. It has returned +2.41% over 5 days and -1.43% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58135 +0.869%
price & change (as of 2026-07-15, prior 2026-07-14)
close 0.58135
change +0.00501 (+0.869%, +50.1 pips)
gap +0.00504 (+50.4 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-15)
range 0.00320 (32.0 pips)
close pos 9.7% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-15)
20d MA 0.57081 price above by +1.85%
50d MA 0.58118 price above by +0.03%
200d MA 0.58193 price below by -0.10%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-15)
20d stdev 0.492% daily ≈ 7.8% annualized (×√252) (18th pct of own history, since 2003 (5830 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.82× (0.492% vs 0.597% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-15)
ATR(14) 0.00547 (54.7 pips)
ATR% 0.94% (33rd pct of own history, since 2003 (5836 obs))
range/ATR 58.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-15)
high 0.60933 (-4.59% from high)
low 0.55842 (+4.11% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-15)
RSI(14) 60.69 (80th pct of own history, since 2003 (5836 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-15)
5d return +2.41%
20d return -0.30%
60d return -1.43%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.9269% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.8375%
tightening-2015 0.6352%
ZIRP-2019 0.6132%
tightening-2022 0.7299%
easing-2024 0.5970%
positioning (as of 2026-07-07)
next COT as of 2026-07-14 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -27,201 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -24.0%
net%OI range -27.1% … +28.5% (own 132w)
w/w change -1,916
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (49 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-07-15, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-07-29 (14 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-15)
vs DXY -0.79
vs S&P 500 +0.37
vs DXY beta -1.28 (26w)