On 2026-07-20, EUR/GBP closed at 0.84987, up 0.08% on the day. It trades at 7.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 31.46 is in the 4th percentile of its history since 1999, and its 20-day return of -2.07% in the 11th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -1.4% of open interest, in the 97th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.85597 / 0.86162 / 0.8688, with price -0.71% / -1.36% / -2.18% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.8468–0.88653; it closed 4.14% below the high and 0.36% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.252% daily, in the 10th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00331 (33.1 pips), 0.39% of price. It has returned -0.24% over 5 days and -1.88% over 60 days.
=== EUR/GBP (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.84987 +0.080% · price < all MAs; positioning net%OI -1.4% (97th pct — near top of own 133w range (band tops at +0.1%))
cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
price & change (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-17)
close 0.84987
change +0.00068 (+0.080%, +6.8 pips)
gap +0.00072 (+7.2 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-20)
range 0.00220 (22.0 pips)
close pos 71.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-20)
20d MA 0.85597 price below by -0.71%
50d MA 0.86162 price below by -1.36%
200d MA 0.86880 price below by -2.18%
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-20)
20d stdev 0.252% daily ≈ 4.0% annualized (×√252) (10th pct of own history, since 1999 (7143 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.93× (0.252% vs 0.270% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-20)
ATR(14) 0.00331 (33.1 pips)
ATR% 0.39% (3rd pct of own history, since 1999 (7149 obs))
range/ATR 66.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-20)
high 0.88653 (-4.14% from high)
low 0.84680 (+0.36% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-20)
RSI(14) 31.46 (4th pct of own history, since 1999 (7149 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-20)
5d return -0.24%
20d return -2.07%
60d return -1.88%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.4968% (from 1999-01-04)
ZIRP-2009 0.5520%
tightening-2015 0.5609%
ZIRP-2019 0.4735%
tightening-2022 0.8002%
easing-2024 0.2701%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -558 contracts (net short EUR/GBP)
source standalone EUR/GBP cross future (own OI, not EUR/GBP majors)
net % OI -1.4%
net%OI range -53.5% … +0.1% (own 133w)
w/w change -90
rate differential (EUR–GBP policy)
EUR (ECB_DFR) 2.25% (set 2026-06-17, deposit-facility floor)
next ECB 2026-07-23 (3 days)
GBP (BOE_BANK_RATE) 3.75% (as of 2026-07-20, official Bank Rate)
next BoE 2026-07-30 (10 days)
differential -1.50% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-20)
vs DXY +0.05
vs S&P 500 +0.26
vs DXY beta +0.03 (26w)