On 2026-07-20, USD/JPY closed at 162.512, up 0.08% on the day. It trades at 98.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 61.90 is in the 81st percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.67% in the 58th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.8% of open interest, in the 24th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.066 / 160.549 / 157.383, with price +0.28% / +1.22% / +3.26% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–162.836; it closed 0.20% below the high and 11.14% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.244% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.663 (66.3 pips), 0.41% of price. It has returned +0.39% over 5 days and +1.84% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.512 +0.084% · 52wk position 98.1% of range (52wk)
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: 20d return, daily %
price & change (as of 2026-07-20, prior 2026-07-17)
close 162.512
change +0.136 (+0.084%, +13.6 pips)
gap +0.149 (+14.9 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-20)
range 0.312 (31.2 pips)
close pos 77.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-20)
20d MA 162.066 price above by +0.28%
50d MA 160.549 price above by +1.22%
200d MA 157.383 price above by +3.26%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-20)
20d stdev 0.244% daily ≈ 3.9% annualized (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7676 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.41× (0.244% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-20)
ATR(14) 0.663 (66.3 pips)
ATR% 0.41% (0th pct of own history, since 1996 (7682 obs))
range/ATR 47.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-20)
high 162.836 (-0.20% from high)
low 146.217 (+11.14% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-20)
RSI(14) 61.90 (81st pct of own history, since 1996 (7682 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-20)
5d return +0.39%
20d return +0.67%
60d return +1.84%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5924%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,461 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.8%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 133w)
w/w change -378
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-20)
vs DXY +0.59
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.91 (26w)