On 2026-07-21, USD/JPY closed at 162.487, down 0.01% on the day. It trades at 96.8% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 61.49 is in the 80th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.57% in the 56th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.8% of open interest, in the 24th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.112 / 160.654 / 157.43, with price +0.23% / +1.14% / +3.21% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.031; it closed 0.33% below the high and 11.13% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.244% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.658 (65.8 pips), 0.40% of price. It has returned +0.04% over 5 days and +1.96% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 162.487 -0.015% · 20d vol 0.244% daily (2nd pct, since 1996 (7677 obs))
price & change (as of 2026-07-21, prior 2026-07-20)
close 162.487
change -0.025 (-0.015%, -2.5 pips)
gap -0.032 (-3.2 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-21)
range 0.591 (59.1 pips)
close pos 8.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-21)
20d MA 162.112 price above by +0.23%
50d MA 160.654 price above by +1.14%
200d MA 157.430 price above by +3.21%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-21)
20d stdev 0.244% daily ≈ 3.9% annualized (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 1996 (7677 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.41× (0.244% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-21)
ATR(14) 0.658 (65.8 pips)
ATR% 0.40% (0th pct of own history, since 1996 (7683 obs))
range/ATR 89.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-21)
high 163.031 (-0.33% from high)
low 146.217 (+11.13% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-21)
RSI(14) 61.49 (80th pct of own history, since 1996 (7683 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-21)
5d return +0.04%
20d return +0.57%
60d return +1.96%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5920%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,461 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.8%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 133w)
w/w change -378
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-21)
vs DXY +0.59
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.91 (26w)