On 2026-07-22, USD/JPY closed at 163.186, up 0.43% on the day. It trades at 99.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 67.98 is in the 91st percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.98% in the 63rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.8% of open interest, in the 24th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.191 / 160.764 / 157.486, with price +0.61% / +1.51% / +3.62% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.198; it closed 0.01% below the high and 11.61% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.259% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.662 (66.2 pips), 0.41% of price. It has returned +0.62% over 5 days and +2.28% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 163.186 +0.430% · 52wk position 99.9% of range (52wk)
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-07-22, prior 2026-07-21)
close 163.186
change +0.699 (+0.430%, +69.9 pips)
gap +0.681 (+68.1 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-22)
range 0.348 (34.8 pips)
close pos 96.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-22)
20d MA 162.191 price above by +0.61%
50d MA 160.764 price above by +1.51%
200d MA 157.486 price above by +3.62%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-22)
20d stdev 0.259% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (3rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7678 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.44× (0.259% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-22)
ATR(14) 0.662 (66.2 pips)
ATR% 0.41% (0th pct of own history, since 1996 (7684 obs))
range/ATR 52.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-22)
high 163.198 (-0.01% from high)
low 146.217 (+11.61% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-22)
RSI(14) 67.98 (91st pct of own history, since 1996 (7684 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-22)
5d return +0.62%
20d return +0.98%
60d return +2.28%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5918%
positioning (as of 2026-07-14)
next COT as of 2026-07-21 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -90,461 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.8%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 133w)
w/w change -378
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-22)
vs DXY +0.59
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.92 (26w)