On 2026-07-23, USD/JPY closed at 163.081, down 0.06% on the day. It trades at 94.9% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 66.17 is in the 89th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +0.81% in the 61st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.7% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.257 / 160.869 / 157.539, with price +0.51% / +1.38% / +3.52% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 0.55% below the high and 11.53% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.260% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.685 (68.5 pips), 0.42% of price. It has returned +0.62% over 5 days and +1.81% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 163.081 -0.064% · 20d vol 0.260% daily (3rd pct, since 1996 (7679 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-07-23, prior 2026-07-22)
close 163.081
change -0.105 (-0.064%, -10.5 pips)
gap -0.118 (-11.8 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-23)
range 0.985 (98.5 pips)
close pos 8.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-23)
20d MA 162.257 price above by +0.51%
50d MA 160.869 price above by +1.38%
200d MA 157.539 price above by +3.52%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-23)
20d stdev 0.260% daily ≈ 4.1% annualized (×√252) (3rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7679 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.44× (0.260% vs 0.591% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-23)
ATR(14) 0.685 (68.5 pips)
ATR% 0.42% (1st pct of own history, since 1996 (7685 obs))
range/ATR 143.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-23)
high 163.979 (-0.55% from high)
low 146.217 (+11.53% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-23)
RSI(14) 66.17 (89th pct of own history, since 1996 (7685 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-23)
5d return +0.62%
20d return +0.81%
60d return +1.81%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5913%
positioning (as of 2026-07-21)
next COT as of 2026-07-28 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -96,185 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.7%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 134w)
w/w change -5,724
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-23)
vs DXY +0.59
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.91 (26w)