On 2026-07-24, USD/JPY closed at 163.832, up 0.46% on the day. It trades at 99.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 71.92 is in the 96th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.25% in the 67th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -22.7% of open interest, in the 25th percentile of its own two-year range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 162.359 / 160.978 / 157.6, with price +0.91% / +1.77% / +3.95% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 0.09% below the high and 12.05% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.277% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.697 (69.7 pips), 0.43% of price. It has returned +0.90% over 5 days and +4.37% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 163.832 +0.461% · 52wk position 99.2% of range (52wk)
cross-signal: flow signals align USD/JPY up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-07-24, prior 2026-07-23)
close 163.832
change +0.751 (+0.461%, +75.1 pips)
gap +0.795 (+79.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-07-24)
range 0.286 (28.6 pips)
close pos 65.4% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-24)
20d MA 162.359 price above by +0.91%
50d MA 160.978 price above by +1.77%
200d MA 157.600 price above by +3.95%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-07-24)
20d stdev 0.277% daily ≈ 4.4% annualized (×√252) (5th pct of own history, since 1996 (7680 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.47× (0.277% vs 0.591% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-24)
ATR(14) 0.697 (69.7 pips)
ATR% 0.43% (1st pct of own history, since 1996 (7686 obs))
range/ATR 41.1%
52-week range (as of 2026-07-24)
high 163.979 (-0.09% from high)
low 146.217 (+12.05% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-24)
RSI(14) 71.92 (96th pct of own history, since 1996 (7686 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-24)
5d return +0.90%
20d return +1.25%
60d return +4.37%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5911%
positioning (as of 2026-07-21)
next COT as of 2026-07-28 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -96,185 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -22.7%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 134w)
w/w change -5,724
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-07-23)
vs DXY +0.59
vs S&P 500 -0.10
vs DXY beta +0.91 (26w)