On 2026-08-04, USD/CAD closed at 1.40463, up 0.24% on the day. It trades at 73.6% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 45.58 is in the 36th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.14% in the 28th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -27.5% of open interest, at 17% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.4088 / 1.40568 / 1.38552, with price -0.30% / -0.07% / +1.38% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 1.41% below the high and 4.17% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.247% daily, in the 6th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00584 (58.4 pips), 0.42% of price. It has returned -0.55% over 5 days and +2.69% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.40463 +0.238%
price & change (as of 2026-08-04, prior 2026-08-03)
close 1.40463
change +0.00333 (+0.238%, +33.3 pips)
gap +0.00326 (+32.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-04)
range 0.00411 (41.1 pips)
close pos 27.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-04)
20d MA 1.40880 price below by -0.30%
50d MA 1.40568 price below by -0.07%
200d MA 1.38552 price above by +1.38%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-04)
20d stdev 0.247% daily ≈ 3.9% annualized (×√252) (6th pct of own history, since 2003 (5928 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.76× (0.247% vs 0.327% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-04)
ATR(14) 0.00584 (58.4 pips)
ATR% 0.42% (2nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5934 obs))
range/ATR 70.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-04)
high 1.42478 (-1.41% from high)
low 1.34840 (+4.17% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-04)
RSI(14) 45.58 (36th pct of own history, since 2003 (5934 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-04)
5d return -0.55%
20d return -1.14%
60d return +2.69%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.6422% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.5827%
tightening-2015 0.4850%
ZIRP-2019 0.4557%
tightening-2022 0.4399%
easing-2024 0.3268%
positioning (as of 2026-07-28) (predates 2026-07-29 FOMC)
next COT as of 2026-08-04 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -102,495 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -27.5%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 135w)
w/w change -4,118
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-04, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (43 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-08-04, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (29 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-04)
vs DXY +0.46
vs S&P 500 -0.26
vs DXY beta +0.32 (26w)