On 2026-08-12, USD/JPY closed at 159.265, up 0.07% on the day. It trades at 73.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 41.91 is in the 23rd percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -1.80% in the 22nd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -14.5% of open interest, at 43% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 160.97 / 161.183 / 158.111, with price -1.06% / -1.19% / +0.73% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 2.87% below the high and 8.92% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.639% daily, in the 63rd percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.351 (135.1 pips), 0.85% of price. It has returned +1.00% over 5 days and +0.14% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 159.265 +0.068%
price & change (as of 2026-08-12, prior 2026-08-11)
close 159.265
change +0.109 (+0.068%, +10.9 pips)
gap +0.126 (+12.6 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-12)
range 0.737 (73.7 pips)
close pos 74.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-12)
20d MA 160.970 price below by -1.06%
50d MA 161.183 price below by -1.19%
200d MA 158.111 price above by +0.73%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-12)
20d stdev 0.639% daily ≈ 10.1% annualized (×√252) (63rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7693 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.07× (0.639% vs 0.595% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-12)
ATR(14) 1.351 (135.1 pips)
ATR% 0.85% (41st pct of own history, since 1996 (7699 obs))
range/ATR 54.6%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-12)
high 163.979 (-2.87% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.92% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-12)
RSI(14) 41.91 (23rd pct of own history, since 1996 (7699 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-12)
5d return +1.00%
20d return -1.80%
60d return +0.14%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.8804% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.6396%
tightening-2015 0.5829%
ZIRP-2019 0.4159%
tightening-2022 0.6795%
easing-2024 0.5949%
positioning (as of 2026-08-04)
next COT as of 2026-08-11 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -60,825 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -14.5%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 136w)
w/w change +41,165
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-12)
vs DXY +0.69
vs S&P 500 -0.37
vs DXY beta +0.74 (26w)