On 2026-08-17, NZD/USD closed at 0.58909, up 0.62% on the day. It trades at 60.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 59.90 is in the 78th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +0.87% in the 61st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -34.6% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.58478 / 0.5788 / 0.58314, with price +0.74% / +1.78% / +1.02% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 3.32% below the high and 5.49% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.466% daily, in the 14th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00467 (46.7 pips), 0.79% of price. It has returned +0.05% over 5 days and +0.30% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58909 +0.622% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -34.6% (near bottom of own 137w range (band bottoms at -34.6%))
cross-signal: flow signals align NZD/USD up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-08-17, prior 2026-08-14)
close 0.58909
change +0.00364 (+0.622%, +36.4 pips)
gap +0.00395 (+39.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-17)
range 0.00319 (31.9 pips) (H−L unaffected by the out-of-range close; only close-position is)
close pos n/a (close 3.1 pips below low — async-close artifact)
moving averages (as of 2026-08-17)
20d MA 0.58478 price above by +0.74%
50d MA 0.57880 price above by +1.78%
200d MA 0.58314 price above by +1.02%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-17)
20d stdev 0.466% daily ≈ 7.4% annualized (×√252) (14th pct of own history, since 2003 (5853 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.79× (0.466% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-17)
ATR(14) 0.00467 (46.7 pips)
ATR% 0.79% (14th pct of own history, since 2003 (5859 obs))
range/ATR 68.4%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-17)
high 0.60933 (-3.32% from high)
low 0.55842 (+5.49% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-17)
RSI(14) 59.90 (78th pct of own history, since 2003 (5859 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-17)
5d return +0.05%
20d return +0.87%
60d return +0.30%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.93% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.84%
tightening-2015 0.64%
ZIRP-2019 0.61%
tightening-2022 0.73%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -33,461 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -34.6%
net%OI range -34.6% … +28.5% (own 137w)
w/w change -3,171
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (16 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-14, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (30 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs DXY -0.76
vs S&P 500 +0.52
vs DXY beta -1.03 (26w)