On 2026-08-18, NZD/USD closed at 0.59059, up 0.26% on the day. It trades at 63.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 62.05 is in the 83rd percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +0.91% in the 61st percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -34.6% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.58505 / 0.57901 / 0.58328, with price +0.95% / +2.00% / +1.25% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 3.08% below the high and 5.76% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.467% daily, in the 14th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00459 (45.9 pips), 0.78% of price. It has returned +0.30% over 5 days and +0.75% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.59059 +0.255% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -34.6% (near bottom of own 137w range (band bottoms at -34.6%))
cross-signal: flow signals align NZD/USD up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-08-18, prior 2026-08-17)
close 0.59059
change +0.00150 (+0.255%, +15.0 pips)
gap +0.00155 (+15.5 pips) (caution: prior close 0.58909 is outside its own 0.58940–0.59259 range by 3.1 pips; part of this gap is a feed artifact, not a cross-session move)
range (as of 2026-08-18)
range 0.00359 (35.9 pips)
close pos 91.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-18)
20d MA 0.58505 price above by +0.95%
50d MA 0.57901 price above by +2.00%
200d MA 0.58328 price above by +1.25%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-18)
20d stdev 0.467% daily ≈ 7.4% annualized (×√252) (14th pct of own history, since 2003 (5854 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.79× (0.467% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-18)
ATR(14) 0.00459 (45.9 pips)
ATR% 0.78% (13th pct of own history, since 2003 (5860 obs))
range/ATR 78.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-18)
high 0.60933 (-3.08% from high)
low 0.55842 (+5.76% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-18)
RSI(14) 62.05 (83rd pct of own history, since 2003 (5860 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-18)
5d return +0.30%
20d return +0.91%
60d return +0.75%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.93% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.84%
tightening-2015 0.64%
ZIRP-2019 0.61%
tightening-2022 0.73%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -33,461 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -34.6%
net%OI range -34.6% … +28.5% (own 137w)
w/w change -3,171
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (15 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-17, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (29 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-17)
vs DXY -0.75
vs S&P 500 +0.52
vs DXY beta -1.03 (26w)