On 2026-08-19, NZD/USD closed at 0.58729, down 0.56% on the day. It trades at 56.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 55.06 is in the 65th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +0.80% in the 60th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -34.6% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.58528 / 0.57914 / 0.5834, with price +0.34% / +1.41% / +0.67% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 3.62% below the high and 5.17% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.473% daily, in the 15th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00481 (48.1 pips), 0.82% of price. It has returned -0.12% over 5 days and +0.52% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.58729 -0.559% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -34.6% (near bottom of own 137w range (band bottoms at -34.6%))
cross-signal: flow signals split — 20d return up / daily % down
price & change (as of 2026-08-19, prior 2026-08-18)
close 0.58729
change -0.00330 (-0.559%, -33.0 pips)
gap -0.00338 (-33.8 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-19)
range 0.00767 (76.7 pips)
close pos 14.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-19)
20d MA 0.58528 price above by +0.34%
50d MA 0.57914 price above by +1.41%
200d MA 0.58340 price above by +0.67%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-19)
20d stdev 0.473% daily ≈ 7.5% annualized (×√252) (15th pct of own history, since 2003 (5855 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.80× (0.473% vs 0.592% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-19)
ATR(14) 0.00481 (48.1 pips)
ATR% 0.82% (16th pct of own history, since 2003 (5861 obs))
range/ATR 159.5%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-19)
high 0.60933 (-3.62% from high)
low 0.55842 (+5.17% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-19)
RSI(14) 55.06 (65th pct of own history, since 2003 (5861 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-19)
5d return -0.12%
20d return +0.80%
60d return +0.52%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.93% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.84%
tightening-2015 0.64%
ZIRP-2019 0.61%
tightening-2022 0.73%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -33,461 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -34.6%
net%OI range -34.6% … +28.5% (own 137w)
w/w change -3,171
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (14 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-18, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (28 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-19)
vs DXY -0.75
vs S&P 500 +0.52
vs DXY beta -0.99 (26w)