On 2026-08-19, USD/CAD closed at 1.38979, up 0.20% on the day. It trades at 54.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 35.13 is in the 11th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of -1.47% in the 23rd percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -25.3% of open interest, at 26% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 1.39997 / 1.40734 / 1.38508, with price -0.73% / -1.25% / +0.34% against them. Its 52-week range is 1.3484–1.42478; it closed 2.46% below the high and 3.07% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.226% daily, in the 4th percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00619 (61.9 pips), 0.45% of price. It has returned -0.15% over 5 days and +0.65% over 60 days.
=== USD/CAD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 1.38979 +0.203% · 20d vol 0.226% daily (4th pct, since 2003 (5939 obs))
cross-signal: flow signals split — daily % up / 20d return down
price & change (as of 2026-08-19, prior 2026-08-18)
close 1.38979
change +0.00282 (+0.203%, +28.2 pips)
gap +0.00293 (+29.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-19)
range 0.01023 (102.3 pips)
close pos 91.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-19)
20d MA 1.39997 price below by -0.73%
50d MA 1.40734 price below by -1.25%
200d MA 1.38508 price above by +0.34%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-19)
20d stdev 0.226% daily ≈ 3.6% annualized (×√252) (4th pct of own history, since 2003 (5939 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.69× (0.226% vs 0.326% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-19)
ATR(14) 0.00619 (61.9 pips)
ATR% 0.45% (5th pct of own history, since 2003 (5945 obs))
range/ATR 165.2%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-19)
high 1.42478 (-2.46% from high)
low 1.34840 (+3.07% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-19)
RSI(14) 35.13 (11th pct of own history, since 2003 (5945 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-19)
5d return -0.15%
20d return -1.47%
60d return +0.65%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.64% (from 2003-09-17)
ZIRP-2009 0.58%
tightening-2015 0.48%
ZIRP-2019 0.46%
tightening-2022 0.44%
easing-2024 0.33%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -92,005 contracts (net short CAD; = long USD in USD/CAD terms)
net % OI -25.3%
net%OI range -31.9% … -6.8% (own 137w)
w/w change +9,743
rate differential (USD–CAD policy)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-18, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (28 days)
CAD (BOC_TARGET) 2.25% (as of 2026-08-18, announced target)
next BoC 2026-09-02 (14 days)
differential +1.38% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-19)
vs DXY +0.41
vs S&P 500 -0.33
vs DXY beta +0.28 (26w)