On 2026-08-20, NZD/USD closed at 0.59358, up 1.07% on the day. It trades at 69.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 63.50 is in the 87th percentile of its history since 2003, and its 20-day return of +2.09% in the 75th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -34.6% of open interest, at 0% of its own two-year positioning range. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 0.58589 / 0.57942 / 0.58355, with price +1.31% / +2.44% / +1.72% against them. Its 52-week range is 0.55842–0.60933; it closed 2.58% below the high and 6.30% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.522% daily, in the 23rd percentile of its history since 2003. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.00512 (51.2 pips), 0.86% of price. It has returned +1.27% over 5 days and +0.74% over 60 days.
=== NZD/USD (pip 0.0001) ===
>> close 0.59358 +1.071% · price > all MAs; positioning net%OI -34.6% (near bottom of own 137w range (band bottoms at -34.6%))
cross-signal: flow signals align NZD/USD up: daily %, 20d return
price & change (as of 2026-08-20, prior 2026-08-19)
close 0.59358
change +0.00629 (+1.071%, +62.9 pips)
gap +0.00633 (+63.3 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-20)
range 0.00306 (30.6 pips)
close pos 5.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-20)
20d MA 0.58589 price above by +1.31%
50d MA 0.57942 price above by +2.44%
200d MA 0.58355 price above by +1.72%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-20)
20d stdev 0.522% daily ≈ 8.3% annualized (×√252) (23rd pct of own history, since 2003 (5856 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.88× (0.522% vs 0.593% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-20)
ATR(14) 0.00512 (51.2 pips)
ATR% 0.86% (22nd pct of own history, since 2003 (5862 obs))
range/ATR 59.7%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-20)
high 0.60933 (-2.58% from high)
low 0.55842 (+6.30% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-20)
RSI(14) 63.50 (87th pct of own history, since 2003 (5862 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-20)
5d return +1.27%
20d return +2.09%
60d return +0.74%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.93% (from 2003-12-01)
ZIRP-2009 0.84%
tightening-2015 0.64%
ZIRP-2019 0.61%
tightening-2022 0.73%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-11)
next COT as of 2026-08-18 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -33,461 contracts (net short NZD)
net % OI -34.6%
net%OI range -34.6% … +28.5% (own 137w)
w/w change -3,171
rate differential (NZD–USD policy)
NZD (RBNZ_OCR) 2.50% (set 2026-07-08, announced target)
next RBNZ 2026-09-02 (13 days)
USD (EFFR) 3.63% (as of 2026-08-19, daily effective)
next Fed 2026-09-16 (27 days)
differential -1.13% (base−quote)
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-20)
vs DXY -0.77
vs S&P 500 +0.45
vs DXY beta -1.05 (26w)