On 2026-08-21, USD/JPY closed at 158.951, up 0.43% on the day. It trades at 71.7% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 42.68 is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of -2.98% in the 12th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -17.8% of open interest, at 36% of its own two-year positioning range. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 159.697 / 161.036 / 158.298, with price -0.47% / -1.29% / +0.41% against them. Its 52-week range is 146.217–163.979; it closed 3.07% below the high and 8.71% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.644% daily, in the 64th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.172 (117.2 pips), 0.74% of price. It has returned -0.30% over 5 days and -0.20% over 60 days.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 158.951 +0.426%
price & change (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-20)
close 158.951
change +0.675 (+0.426%, +67.5 pips)
gap +0.775 (+77.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-08-21)
range 0.270 (27.0 pips)
close pos 32.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-21)
20d MA 159.697 price below by -0.47%
50d MA 161.036 price below by -1.29%
200d MA 158.298 price above by +0.41%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-21)
20d stdev 0.644% daily ≈ 10.2% annualized (×√252) (64th pct of own history, since 1996 (7700 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.09× (0.644% vs 0.593% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-21)
ATR(14) 1.172 (117.2 pips)
ATR% 0.74% (25th pct of own history, since 1996 (7706 obs))
range/ATR 23.0%
52-week range (as of 2026-08-21)
high 163.979 (-3.07% from high)
low 146.217 (+8.71% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-21)
RSI(14) 42.68 (25th pct of own history, since 1996 (7706 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-21)
5d return -0.30%
20d return -2.98%
60d return -0.20%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 0.88% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP-2009 0.64%
tightening-2015 0.58%
ZIRP-2019 0.42%
tightening-2022 0.68%
easing-2024 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-08-18)
next COT as of 2026-08-25 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -67,971 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -17.8%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 138w)
w/w change -14,901
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-08-21)
vs DXY +0.67
vs S&P 500 -0.38
vs DXY beta +0.68 (26w)