USD/JPY: RSI, volatility, 52-week range · daily
On 2026-10-14, USD/JPY closed at 158.322, down 0.12% on the day. At the 2026-10-14 close, USD/JPY was 61.2% of the way from its 52-week low to its high. At the 2026-10-14 close, USD/JPY had an RSI(14) of 55.66, in the 64th percentile of its history since 1996, and its 20-day return of +1.97% was in the 76th percentile. Leveraged-money positioning is net -6.8% of open interest, at 61% of its own two-year positioning range. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of USD/JPY were 157.699 / 157.709 / 158.553, with price +0.40% / +0.39% / -0.15% against them. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 52-week range of USD/JPY was 149.407–163.979; it closed 3.45% below the high and 5.97% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 0.305% daily, in the 7th percentile of its history since 1996. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 1.089 (108.9 pips), 0.69% of price. It has returned +0.02% over 5 days and -2.98% over 60 days.
Figures reflect the latest daily snapshot for 2026-10-14.
=== USD/JPY (pip 0.01) ===
>> close 158.322 -0.125%
price & change (as of 2026-10-14, prior 2026-10-13)
close 158.322
change -0.198 (-0.125%, -19.8 pips)
gap -0.205 (-20.5 pips) (cross-session move on continuous FX; not a feed gap)
range (as of 2026-10-14)
range 0.814 (81.4 pips)
close pos 23.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-14)
20d MA 157.699 price above by +0.40%
50d MA 157.709 price above by +0.39%
200d MA 158.553 price below by -0.15%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-10-14)
20d stdev 0.305% daily ≈ 4.8% annualised (×√252) (7th pct of own history, since 1996 (7738 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.52× (0.305% vs 0.590% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-14)
ATR(14) 1.089 (108.9 pips)
ATR% 0.69% (20th pct of own history, since 1996 (7744 obs))
range/ATR 74.8%
52-week range (as of 2026-10-14)
high 163.979 (-3.45% from high)
low 149.407 (+5.97% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-10-14)
RSI(14) 55.66 (64th pct of own history, since 1996 (7744 obs))
returns (as of 2026-10-14)
5d return +0.02%
20d return +1.97%
60d return -2.98%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (through 2008) 0.88% (from 1996-10-30)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 0.64%
tightening (2015–2018) 0.58%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 0.42%
tightening (2022–2023) 0.68%
easing (2024– ) 0.59%
positioning (as of 2026-10-06)
next COT as of 2026-10-13 (released ~that Fri, later if a holiday intervenes)
net -25,043 contracts (net short JPY; = long USD in USD/JPY terms)
net % OI -6.8%
net%OI range -33.5% … +10.5% (own 145w)
w/w change -10,882
cross-asset corr (26w weekly returns; async daily closes cap the magnitude) (as of 2026-10-14)
vs DXY +0.66
vs S&P 500 -0.18
vs DXY beta +0.87 (26w)