mercatusdata

BAC RSI(14): the current reading and its track record

BAC’s current RSI(14) reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.

BAC’s RSI(14) is currently 24.0 (2nd percentile of its own history), as of 2026-10-16.

This page covers Bank of America (BAC) — its current RSI(14) reading and the measured historical record of what BAC RSI(14) extremes were followed by.

7030
RSI(14) history — last 252 sessions (0–100 scale; dashed lines mark the 70 overbought / 30 oversold bands).
Show recent RSI(14) values
Most recent 30 daily RSI(14) readings (the tail of the chart series above).
dateRSI(14)
2026-09-0452.9
2026-09-0850.8
2026-09-0952.7
2026-09-1051.8
2026-09-1152.8
2026-09-1434.0
2026-09-1534.4
2026-09-1628.5
2026-09-1730.7
2026-09-1829.2
2026-09-2131.1
2026-09-2225.4
2026-09-2324.8
2026-09-2425.1
2026-09-2531.0
2026-09-2826.8
2026-09-2925.3
2026-09-3023.8
2026-10-0121.9
2026-10-0222.1
2026-10-0524.6
2026-10-0625.5
2026-10-0723.5
2026-10-0824.5
2026-10-0931.8
2026-10-1234.3
2026-10-1331.4
2026-10-1422.6
2026-10-1525.3
2026-10-1624.0

How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently covered by this site — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have ‘worked’ on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.

All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.

Measured across BAC’s RSI(14) history from 1973 to 2026: 149 overbought episodes and 118 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by -0.25% excess at 5 sessions and +0.39% by 20; oversold readings were followed by +0.05% excess at 5 sessions and +0.43% by 20.

On this signal, the most recent episode in which BAC was overbought began on 2026-06-12; the most recent in which it was oversold, on 2026-09-16.

Outcomes are measured for episodes up to 2026-09-16, the most recent with enough later sessions to score. The current reading above is from a later date, 2026-10-16.

When BAC was overbought

Across 149 past episodes where BAC was overbought on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat BAC’s own trailing drift by 0.39 percentage points on average (52% of episodes beat drift).

BAC forward excess return vs its own drift after overbought RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session+0.23%54%149
5 sessions-0.25%50%149
20 sessions+0.39%52%149

When BAC was oversold

Across 118 past episodes where BAC was oversold on this signal, the 117 with a complete 20-session forward window beat BAC’s own trailing drift by 0.43 percentage points on average (58% of those 117 beat drift).

BAC forward excess return vs its own drift after oversold RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session-0.27%60%118
5 sessions+0.05%58%118
20 sessions+0.43%58%117

How BAC RSI(14) is measured

RSI(14) is the 14-day Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge bounded between 0 and 100, computed from BAC’s daily closing prices using Wilder’s smoothing. On this page a reading of 70 or above is treated as overbought and 30 or below as oversold; each historical episode is counted from the first session the threshold was reached (not its most extreme point).

Forward results are measured as excess versus BAC’s own trailing drift, not versus the market. This page reports the readings and what historically followed them; it does not interpret any level as a signal to buy or sell. See the methodology and reproducibility notes for the full calculation and sample rules.

← all instruments on RSI(14)

See BAC’s current price, RSI, moving averages and 52-week range →