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CVX RSI(14): the current reading and its track record

CVX’s current RSI(14) reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.

CVX’s RSI(14) is currently 70.8 (95th percentile of its own history), as of 2026-10-16.

This page covers Chevron Corporation (CVX) — its current RSI(14) reading and the measured historical record of what CVX RSI(14) extremes were followed by.

7030
RSI(14) history — last 252 sessions (0–100 scale; dashed lines mark the 70 overbought / 30 oversold bands).
Show recent RSI(14) values
Most recent 30 daily RSI(14) readings (the tail of the chart series above).
dateRSI(14)
2026-09-0464.0
2026-09-0865.5
2026-09-0969.9
2026-09-1067.5
2026-09-1168.9
2026-09-1464.4
2026-09-1570.6
2026-09-1658.5
2026-09-1758.5
2026-09-1854.9
2026-09-2146.2
2026-09-2244.6
2026-09-2349.4
2026-09-2449.6
2026-09-2547.7
2026-09-2850.9
2026-09-2947.7
2026-09-3047.4
2026-10-0152.4
2026-10-0251.6
2026-10-0551.2
2026-10-0653.3
2026-10-0748.4
2026-10-0859.0
2026-10-0959.6
2026-10-1263.7
2026-10-1366.9
2026-10-1471.2
2026-10-1565.4
2026-10-1670.8

How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently covered by this site — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have ‘worked’ on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.

All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.

Measured across CVX’s RSI(14) history from 1962 to 2026: 171 overbought episodes and 113 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by -0.33% excess at 5 sessions and -0.57% by 20; oversold readings were followed by +0.21% excess at 5 sessions and +1.70% by 20.

On this signal, the most recent episode in which CVX was overbought began on 2026-10-14; the most recent in which it was oversold, on 2026-06-30.

Outcomes are measured for episodes up to 2026-10-14, the most recent with enough later sessions to score. The current reading above is from a later date, 2026-10-16.

When CVX was overbought

Across 171 past episodes where CVX was overbought on this signal, the 170 with a complete 20-session forward window lagged CVX’s own trailing drift by 0.57 percentage points on average (42% of those 170 beat drift).

CVX forward excess return vs its own drift after overbought RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session-0.07%49%171
5 sessions-0.33%51%170
20 sessions-0.57%42%170

When CVX was oversold

Across 113 past episodes where CVX was oversold on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat CVX’s own trailing drift by 1.70 percentage points on average (58% of episodes beat drift).

CVX forward excess return vs its own drift after oversold RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizonexcess vs own driftbeat-drift rateepisodes with a complete horizon
1 session+0.11%53%113
5 sessions+0.21%51%113
20 sessions+1.70%58%113

How CVX RSI(14) is measured

RSI(14) is the 14-day Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge bounded between 0 and 100, computed from CVX’s daily closing prices using Wilder’s smoothing. On this page a reading of 70 or above is treated as overbought and 30 or below as oversold; each historical episode is counted from the first session the threshold was reached (not its most extreme point).

Forward results are measured as excess versus CVX’s own trailing drift, not versus the market. This page reports the readings and what historically followed them; it does not interpret any level as a signal to buy or sell. See the methodology and reproducibility notes for the full calculation and sample rules.

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