Ethereum (ETH) RSI(14): the current reading and its track record

Data as of 2026-10-16

ETH’s current RSI(14) reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.

ETH’s RSI(14) is currently 38.6 (17th percentile of its own history), as of 2026-10-16.

This page covers Ethereum (ETH) — its current RSI(14) reading and the measured historical record of what ETH RSI(14) extremes were followed by.

RSI(14) history — last 365 days (0–100 scale; dashed lines mark the 70 overbought / 30 oversold bands).

Show recent RSI(14) values

Most recent 30 daily RSI(14) readings (the tail of the chart series above).
date	RSI(14)
2026-09-17	54.2
2026-09-18	64.5
2026-09-19	65.5
2026-09-20	66.1
2026-09-21	72.2
2026-09-22	69.8
2026-09-23	63.3
2026-09-24	63.5
2026-09-25	63.6
2026-09-26	63.9
2026-09-27	63.0
2026-09-28	63.1
2026-09-29	61.6
2026-09-30	62.2
2026-10-01	64.0
2026-10-02	58.8
2026-10-03	60.6
2026-10-04	64.0
2026-10-05	61.7
2026-10-06	59.7
2026-10-07	45.4
2026-10-08	37.4
2026-10-09	39.0
2026-10-10	41.1
2026-10-11	44.5
2026-10-12	37.6
2026-10-13	43.1
2026-10-14	37.7
2026-10-15	40.0
2026-10-16	38.6

How to read this. These figures are measured only on the four crypto assets currently covered by this site — coins that survived and grew large. Many coins from the same years collapsed or disappeared and would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.

All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.

Measured across ETH’s RSI(14) history from 2017 to 2026: 42 overbought episodes and 24 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by +2.26% excess at 5 days and +1.92% by 20; oversold readings were followed by -4.65% excess at 5 days and -10.89% by 20.

On this signal, the most recent episode in which ETH was overbought began on 2026-09-21; the most recent in which it was oversold, on 2026-06-02.

Outcomes are measured for episodes up to 2026-09-21, the most recent with enough later days to score. The current reading above is from a later date, 2026-10-16.

When ETH was overbought

Across 42 past episodes where ETH was overbought on this signal, the 41 with a complete 20-day forward window beat ETH’s own trailing drift by 1.92 percentage points on average (51% of those 41 beat drift).

ETH forward excess return vs its own drift after overbought RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizon	excess vs own drift	beat-drift rate	episodes with a complete horizon
1 day	-0.13%	43%	42
5 days	+2.26%	59%	41
20 days	+1.92%	51%	41

When ETH was oversold

Across 24 past episodes where ETH was oversold on this signal, the close 20 days later lagged ETH’s own trailing drift by 10.89 percentage points on average (38% of episodes beat drift).

ETH forward excess return vs its own drift after oversold RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizon	excess vs own drift	beat-drift rate	episodes with a complete horizon
1 day	-0.28%	33%	24
5 days	-4.65%	38%	24
20 days	-10.89%	38%	24

How ETH RSI(14) is measured

RSI(14) is the 14-day Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge bounded between 0 and 100, computed from ETH’s daily closing prices using Wilder’s smoothing. On this page a reading of 70 or above is treated as overbought and 30 or below as oversold; each historical episode is counted from the first day the threshold was reached (not its most extreme point).

Forward results are measured as excess versus ETH’s own trailing drift, not versus the market. This page reports the readings and what historically followed them; it does not interpret any level as a signal to buy or sell. See the methodology and reproducibility notes for the full calculation and sample rules.

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