XOM RSI(14): the current reading and its track record

Data as of 2026-10-16

XOM’s current RSI(14) reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.

XOM’s RSI(14) is currently 73.0 (98th percentile of its own history), as of 2026-10-16.

This page covers ExxonMobil (XOM) — its current RSI(14) reading and the measured historical record of what XOM RSI(14) extremes were followed by.

RSI(14) history — last 252 sessions (0–100 scale; dashed lines mark the 70 overbought / 30 oversold bands).

Show recent RSI(14) values

Most recent 30 daily RSI(14) readings (the tail of the chart series above).
date	RSI(14)
2026-09-04	51.0
2026-09-08	53.1
2026-09-09	59.0
2026-09-10	60.4
2026-09-11	61.6
2026-09-14	59.4
2026-09-15	65.5
2026-09-16	53.2
2026-09-17	53.1
2026-09-18	53.6
2026-09-21	44.6
2026-09-22	45.3
2026-09-23	50.0
2026-09-24	51.6
2026-09-25	48.7
2026-09-28	52.3
2026-09-29	50.0
2026-09-30	52.6
2026-10-01	54.6
2026-10-02	55.0
2026-10-05	54.9
2026-10-06	56.0
2026-10-07	54.8
2026-10-08	63.4
2026-10-09	64.2
2026-10-12	69.0
2026-10-13	71.5
2026-10-14	74.9
2026-10-15	68.1
2026-10-16	73.0

How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently covered by this site — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have ‘worked’ on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.

All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.

Measured across XOM’s RSI(14) history from 1962 to 2026: 143 overbought episodes and 103 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by -0.68% excess at 5 sessions and -0.31% by 20; oversold readings were followed by +1.45% excess at 5 sessions and +2.49% by 20.

On this signal, the most recent episode in which XOM was overbought began on 2026-10-13; the most recent in which it was oversold, on 2025-04-07.

Outcomes are measured for episodes up to 2026-10-13, the most recent with enough later sessions to score. The current reading above is from a later date, 2026-10-16.

When XOM was overbought

Across 143 past episodes where XOM was overbought on this signal, the 141 with a complete 20-session forward window lagged XOM’s own trailing drift by 0.31 percentage points on average (45% of those 141 beat drift).

XOM forward excess return vs its own drift after overbought RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizon	excess vs own drift	beat-drift rate	episodes with a complete horizon
1 session	+0.08%	46%	143
5 sessions	-0.68%	39%	142
20 sessions	-0.31%	45%	141

When XOM was oversold

Across 103 past episodes where XOM was oversold on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat XOM’s own trailing drift by 2.49 percentage points on average (66% of episodes beat drift).

XOM forward excess return vs its own drift after oversold RSI(14) readings, by horizon.
horizon	excess vs own drift	beat-drift rate	episodes with a complete horizon
1 session	+0.57%	50%	103
5 sessions	+1.45%	66%	103
20 sessions	+2.49%	66%	103

How XOM RSI(14) is measured

RSI(14) is the 14-day Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge bounded between 0 and 100, computed from XOM’s daily closing prices using Wilder’s smoothing. On this page a reading of 70 or above is treated as overbought and 30 or below as oversold; each historical episode is counted from the first session the threshold was reached (not its most extreme point).

Forward results are measured as excess versus XOM’s own trailing drift, not versus the market. This page reports the readings and what historically followed them; it does not interpret any level as a signal to buy or sell. See the methodology and reproducibility notes for the full calculation and sample rules.

← all instruments on RSI(14)

See XOM’s current price, RSI, moving averages and 52-week range →