On 2026-07-31, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 464.72 USD, up 3.02% on the day. Its RSI(14) of 74.50 is in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +19.01% is in the 96th percentile. It trades at 56.0% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 396.87 / 399.4 / 433.58 USD, with price +17.10% / +16.35% / +7.18% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–555.45 USD; it closed 16.33% below the high and 33.08% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.790% daily, in the 95th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 16.02 USD, 3.45% of price. It has returned +21.75% over 5 days and +12.97% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.48 / correlation +0.49 (52-week); beta +1.59 / correlation +0.47 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.25 (52-week); -0.36 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-07-31, prior 2026-07-30)
close 464.72
change +13.62 (+3.019%)
range (as of 2026-07-31)
range 17.51
close pos 87.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-07-31)
20d MA 396.87 price above by +17.10%
50d MA 399.40 price above by +16.35%
200d MA 433.58 price above by +7.18%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
volatility (as of 2026-07-31)
20d stdev 3.790% daily ≈ 60.2% annualized (×√252) (95th pct of own history, since 1986 (9941 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.24× (3.790% vs 1.691% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-07-31)
ATR(14) 16.02
ATR% 3.45% (82nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9947 obs))
range/ATR 109.3%
relative volume (as of 2026-07-31)
RVOL 1.72x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 94th pct of own history, since 1986 (9941 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-07-31)
high 555.45 (-16.33% from high)
low 349.20 (+33.08% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-07-31)
RSI(14) 74.50 (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9947 obs))
returns (as of 2026-07-31)
5d return +21.75%
20d return +19.01%
60d return +12.97%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.6912%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-30)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.36 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-07-31)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.59 corr +0.47 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.48 corr +0.49 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (89 days)