On 2026-08-03, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 487.65 USD, up 4.93% on the day. Its RSI(14) of 78.27 is in the 99th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +26.09% is in the 98th percentile. It trades at 67.7% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 401.91 / 400.74 / 433.45 USD, with price +21.33% / +21.69% / +12.50% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 11.93% below the high and 39.65% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.863% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 16.79 USD, 3.44% of price. It has returned +25.33% over 5 days and +17.80% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.56 / correlation +0.50 (52-week); beta +1.59 / correlation +0.48 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.16 (52-week); -0.25 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-03, prior 2026-07-31)
close 487.65
change +22.93 (+4.934%)
range (as of 2026-08-03)
range 16.64
close pos 76.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-03)
20d MA 401.91 price above by +21.33%
50d MA 400.74 price above by +21.69%
200d MA 433.45 price above by +12.50%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-03)
20d stdev 3.863% daily ≈ 61.3% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9942 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.27× (3.863% vs 1.701% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-03)
ATR(14) 16.79
ATR% 3.44% (82nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9948 obs))
range/ATR 99.1%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-03)
RVOL 1.70x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 93rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9942 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-03)
high 553.72 (-11.93% from high)
low 349.20 (+39.65% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-03)
RSI(14) 78.27 (99th pct of own history, since 1986 (9948 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-03)
5d return +25.33%
20d return +26.09%
60d return +17.80%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.7007%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-07-31)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.25 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-03)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.59 corr +0.48 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.56 corr +0.50 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (86 days)