On 2026-08-04, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 492.81 USD, up 1.06% on the day. Its RSI(14) of 79.02 is in the 99th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +26.74% is in the 99th percentile. It trades at 70.2% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 407.11 / 402.21 / 433.35 USD, with price +21.05% / +22.53% / +13.72% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 11.00% below the high and 41.13% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.860% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 17.04 USD, 3.46% of price. It has returned +25.29% over 5 days and +17.12% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.56 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.58 / correlation +0.49 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.17 (52-week); -0.30 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-04, prior 2026-08-03)
close 492.81
change +5.16 (+1.058%)
range (as of 2026-08-04)
range 20.27
close pos 67.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-04)
20d MA 407.11 price above by +21.05%
50d MA 402.21 price above by +22.53%
200d MA 433.35 price above by +13.72%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-04)
20d stdev 3.860% daily ≈ 61.3% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9943 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.27× (3.860% vs 1.700% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-04)
ATR(14) 17.04
ATR% 3.46% (82nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9949 obs))
range/ATR 118.9%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-04)
RVOL 1.33x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 84th pct of own history, since 1986 (9943 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-04)
high 553.72 (-11.00% from high)
low 349.20 (+41.13% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-04)
RSI(14) 79.02 (99th pct of own history, since 1986 (9949 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-04)
5d return +25.29%
20d return +26.74%
60d return +17.12%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.6999%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-03)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.30 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.17 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-04)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.58 corr +0.49 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.56 corr +0.52 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (85 days)