On 2026-08-05, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 487.46 USD, down 1.09% on the day. Its 20-day return of +27.16% is in the 99th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 76.08 is in the 98th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 67.6% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 412.32 / 403.59 / 433.23 USD, with price +18.22% / +20.78% / +12.52% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 11.97% below the high and 39.59% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.848% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 16.72 USD, 3.43% of price. It has returned +24.82% over 5 days and +17.43% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.54 / correlation +0.51 (52-week); beta +1.55 / correlation +0.49 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.18 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-05, prior 2026-08-04)
close 487.46
change -5.35 (-1.086%)
range (as of 2026-08-05)
range 12.53
close pos 14.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-05)
20d MA 412.32 price above by +18.22%
50d MA 403.59 price above by +20.78%
200d MA 433.23 price above by +12.52%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-05)
20d stdev 3.848% daily ≈ 61.1% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9944 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.26× (3.848% vs 1.699% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-05)
ATR(14) 16.72
ATR% 3.43% (81st pct of own history, since 1986 (9950 obs))
range/ATR 74.9%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-05)
RVOL 0.78x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 31st pct of own history, since 1986 (9944 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-05)
high 553.72 (-11.97% from high)
low 349.20 (+39.59% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-05)
RSI(14) 76.08 (98th pct of own history, since 1986 (9950 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-05)
5d return +24.82%
20d return +27.16%
60d return +17.43%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.6992%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-04)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.18 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-05)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.55 corr +0.49 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.54 corr +0.51 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (84 days)