On 2026-08-06, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 499.86 USD, up 2.54% on the day. Its RSI(14) of 78.11 is in the 99th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +30.05% is in the 99th percentile. It trades at 73.7% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 418.09 / 405.27 / 433.16 USD, with price +19.56% / +23.34% / +15.40% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 9.73% below the high and 43.14% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.851% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 16.53 USD, 3.31% of price. It has returned +10.81% over 5 days and +21.13% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.60 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.63 / correlation +0.50 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.18 (52-week); -0.30 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-06, prior 2026-08-05)
close 499.86
change +12.40 (+2.544%)
range (as of 2026-08-06)
range 13.03
close pos 87.0% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-06)
20d MA 418.09 price above by +19.56%
50d MA 405.27 price above by +23.34%
200d MA 433.16 price above by +15.40%
price > all MAs
stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-06)
20d stdev 3.851% daily ≈ 61.1% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9945 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.26× (3.851% vs 1.701% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-06)
ATR(14) 16.53
ATR% 3.31% (79th pct of own history, since 1986 (9951 obs))
range/ATR 78.8%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-06)
RVOL 0.83x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 38th pct of own history, since 1986 (9945 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-06)
high 553.72 (-9.73% from high)
low 349.20 (+43.14% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-06)
RSI(14) 78.11 (99th pct of own history, since 1986 (9951 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-06)
5d return +10.81%
20d return +30.05%
60d return +21.13%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.7007%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-05)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.30 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.18 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-06)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.63 corr +0.50 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.60 corr +0.52 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (83 days)