Microsoft (MSFT): 20-day return +29.83% (99th pct)

On 2026-08-07, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 499.99 USD, up 0.03% on the day. Its RSI(14) of 78.13 is in the 99th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +29.83% is in the 99th percentile. It trades at 73.7% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 423.84 / 407.01 / 433.08 USD, with price +17.97% / +22.84% / +15.45% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 9.70% below the high and 43.18% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.854% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 15.82 USD, 3.16% of price. It has returned +7.59% over 5 days and +22.62% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.59 / correlation +0.52 (52-week); beta +1.61 / correlation +0.51 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.18 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.

=== MICROSOFT (MSFT)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-07, prior 2026-08-06)
    close       499.99
    change      +0.13  (+0.026%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-07)
    range       6.45
    close pos   19.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-07)
     20d MA     423.84   price above by +17.97%
     50d MA     407.01   price above by +22.84%
    200d MA     433.08   price above by +15.45%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-07)
    20d stdev   3.854% daily ≈ 61.2% annualized (×√252)   (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9946 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  2.27× (3.854% vs 1.699% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-07)
    ATR(14)    15.82
    ATR%        3.16%   (74th pct of own history, since 1986 (9952 obs))
    range/ATR   40.8%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-08-07)
    RVOL        0.73x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      23rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9946 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-07)
    high        553.72   (-9.70% from high)
    low         349.20   (+43.18% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-07)
    RSI(14)     78.13   (99th pct of own history, since 1986 (9952 obs))
  returns          (as of 2026-08-07)
     5d return  +7.59%
    20d return  +29.83%
    60d return  +22.62%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.5611%   (from 1986-03-13)
    ZIRP-2009        1.6240%
    tightening-2015  1.4234%
    ZIRP-2019        1.9115%
    tightening-2022  1.9351%
    easing-2024      1.6994%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-06)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.18 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-08-07)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.61  corr +0.51  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.59  corr +0.52  (52w)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-28  (82 days)