On 2026-08-12, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 492.43 USD, down 2.26% on the day. Its 20-day return of +24.47% is in the 98th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 70.78 is in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 70.0% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 440.37 / 410.3 / 432.79 USD, with price +11.82% / +20.02% / +13.78% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 11.07% below the high and 41.02% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.889% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 14.82 USD, 3.01% of price. It has returned +1.02% over 5 days and +16.71% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.60 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.66 / correlation +0.51 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.19 (52-week); -0.35 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-12, prior 2026-08-11)
close 492.43
change -11.38 (-2.259%)
range (as of 2026-08-12)
range 9.98
close pos 9.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-12)
20d MA 440.37 price above by +11.82%
50d MA 410.30 price above by +20.02%
200d MA 432.79 price above by +13.78%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-12)
20d stdev 3.889% daily ≈ 61.7% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9949 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.29× (3.889% vs 1.699% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-12)
ATR(14) 14.82
ATR% 3.01% (69th pct of own history, since 1986 (9955 obs))
range/ATR 67.3%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-12)
RVOL 0.72x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 22nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9949 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-12)
high 553.72 (-11.07% from high)
low 349.20 (+41.02% from low)
momentum (as of 2026-08-12)
RSI(14) 70.78 (92nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9955 obs))
returns (as of 2026-08-12)
5d return +1.02%
20d return +24.47%
60d return +16.71%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.5611% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.6240%
tightening-2015 1.4234%
ZIRP-2019 1.9115%
tightening-2022 1.9351%
easing-2024 1.6986%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-11)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.35 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.19 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-12)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.66 corr +0.51 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.60 corr +0.53 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (77 days)