On 2026-08-14, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 856.57 USD, up 0.23% on the day. Its 20-day return of -2.69% is in the 31st percentile. It trades at 67.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI(14) of 46.49 is in the 34th percentile of its history since 1962. Its RSI last entered overbought 95 days ago (2026-05-11) and oversold 16 days ago (2026-07-29). It is trading above some and below others of its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 853.61 / 912.53 / 754.39 USD, with price +0.35% / -6.13% / +13.54% against them. Its moving averages stack 50-day > 20-day > 200-day. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 20.20% below the high and 111.26% above the low. The high was set 45 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 361 days ago (2025-08-18). It is 20.20% below its all-time high, set 45 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.646% daily, in the 91st percentile of its history since 1962. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 0.769%, 20-day 2.646%, 60-day 2.938%, and 120-day 2.774% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 35.97 USD, 4.20% of price. It has returned +1.71% over 5 days, +5.13% over 10 days, -2.69% over 20 days, -0.42% over 60 days, +13.23% over 120 days, and +107.05% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.76 / correlation +0.28 (52-week); beta +0.72 / correlation +0.31 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -7.09% (20-day), -6.29% (60-day), and +86.65% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.16 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-14, prior 2026-08-13)
close 856.57
change +1.97 (+0.231%)
range (as of 2026-08-14)
range 20.99
close pos 31.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-14)
20d MA 853.61 price above by +0.35%
50d MA 912.53 price below by -6.13%
200d MA 754.39 price above by +13.54%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-14)
20d stdev 2.646% daily ≈ 42.0% annualized (×√252) (91st pct of own history, since 1962 (16242 obs))
term struct 5d 0.769% · 20d 2.646% · 60d 2.938% · 120d 2.774% daily
vs easing-2024 avg 1.28× (2.646% vs 2.075% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-14)
ATR(14) 35.97
ATR% 4.20% (96th pct of own history, since 1962 (16248 obs))
range/ATR 58.4%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-14)
RVOL 0.60x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 17th pct of own history, since 1962 (16242 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-14)
high 1073.46 (-20.20% from high) [2026-06-30, 45d ago]
low 405.46 (+111.26% from low) [2025-08-18, 361d ago]
drawdown -20.20% from all-time high, 45d ago (2026-06-30)
momentum (as of 2026-08-14)
RSI(14) 46.49 (34th pct of own history, since 1962 (16248 obs))
last overbought 95d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 16d ago (2026-07-29)
MACD (as of 2026-08-14)
MACD(12,26,9) -16.68 (above signal) signal -20.95 hist +4.28
returns (as of 2026-08-14)
5d return +1.71%
10d return +5.13%
20d return -2.69%
60d return -0.42%
120d return +13.23%
252d return +107.05%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.02%
tightening-2015 1.72%
ZIRP-2019 2.11%
tightening-2022 1.96%
easing-2024 2.07%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-13)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.72 corr +0.31 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.76 corr +0.28 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -7.09% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -6.29% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +86.65% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.42 corr +0.62 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.55 corr +0.62 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (76 days)