On 2026-08-17, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 881.65 USD, up 2.93% on the day. It trades at 71.3% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of +2.01% is in the 55th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 52.33 is in the 50th percentile of its history since 1962. Its RSI last entered overbought 98 days ago (2026-05-11) and oversold 19 days ago (2026-07-29). It is trading above some and below others of its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 854.48 / 911.36 / 756.18 USD, with price +3.18% / -3.26% / +16.59% against them. Its moving averages stack 50-day > 20-day > 200-day. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 17.87% below the high and 117.44% above the low. The high was set 48 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 364 days ago (2025-08-18). It is 17.87% below its all-time high, set 48 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.696% daily, in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1962. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 1.209%, 20-day 2.696%, 60-day 2.957%, and 120-day 2.783% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 35.64 USD, 4.04% of price. It has returned +5.26% over 5 days, +6.22% over 10 days, +2.01% over 20 days, +1.04% over 60 days, +14.76% over 120 days, and +111.17% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.75 / correlation +0.28 (52-week); beta +0.70 / correlation +0.31 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -2.05% (20-day), -3.16% (60-day), and +91.44% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 (52-week); -0.16 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-17, prior 2026-08-14)
close 881.65
change +25.08 (+2.928%)
range (as of 2026-08-17)
range 28.29
close pos 77.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-17)
20d MA 854.48 price above by +3.18%
50d MA 911.36 price below by -3.26%
200d MA 756.18 price above by +16.59%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
volatility (as of 2026-08-17)
20d stdev 2.696% daily ≈ 42.8% annualized (×√252) (92nd pct of own history, since 1962 (16243 obs))
term struct 5d 1.209% · 20d 2.696% · 60d 2.957% · 120d 2.783% daily
vs easing-2024 avg 1.30× (2.696% vs 2.076% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-17)
ATR(14) 35.64
ATR% 4.04% (96th pct of own history, since 1962 (16249 obs))
range/ATR 79.4%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-17)
RVOL 0.54x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 12th pct of own history, since 1962 (16243 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-17)
high 1073.46 (-17.87% from high) [2026-06-30, 48d ago]
low 405.46 (+117.44% from low) [2025-08-18, 364d ago]
drawdown -17.87% from all-time high, 48d ago (2026-06-30)
momentum (as of 2026-08-17)
RSI(14) 52.33 (50th pct of own history, since 1962 (16249 obs))
last overbought 98d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 19d ago (2026-07-29)
MACD (as of 2026-08-17)
MACD(12,26,9) -13.17 (above signal) signal -19.40 hist +6.22
returns (as of 2026-08-17)
5d return +5.26%
10d return +6.22%
20d return +2.01%
60d return +1.04%
120d return +14.76%
252d return +111.17%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.02%
tightening-2015 1.72%
ZIRP-2019 2.11%
tightening-2022 1.96%
easing-2024 2.08%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.16 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-17)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.70 corr +0.31 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.75 corr +0.28 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -2.05% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -3.16% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +91.44% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.48 corr +0.64 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.51 corr +0.61 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (73 days)