On 2026-08-17, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 480.35 USD, down 3.04% on the day. Its 20-day return of +19.40% is in the 96th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 62.19 is in the 76th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 64.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI last entered overbought 18 days ago (2026-07-30) and oversold 53 days ago (2026-06-25). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 454.14 / 413.82 / 432.17 USD, with price +5.77% / +16.08% / +11.15% against them. Its moving averages stack 20-day > 200-day > 50-day. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 13.25% below the high and 37.56% above the low. The high was set 293 days ago (2025-10-28) and the low 53 days ago (2026-06-25). It is 13.52% below its all-time high, set 382 days ago (2025-07-31). Its 20-day volatility is 3.950% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 1.594%, 20-day 3.950%, 60-day 2.995%, and 120-day 2.431% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 14.03 USD, 2.92% of price. It has returned -5.08% over 5 days, -1.50% over 10 days, +19.40% over 20 days, +14.08% over 60 days, +23.48% over 120 days, and -8.06% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.60 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.70 / correlation +0.52 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +15.35% (20-day), +9.88% (60-day), and -27.80% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.19 (52-week); -0.34 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-17, prior 2026-08-14)
close 480.35
change -15.05 (-3.038%)
range (as of 2026-08-17)
range 14.25
close pos 13.6% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-17)
20d MA 454.14 price above by +5.77%
50d MA 413.82 price above by +16.08%
200d MA 432.17 price above by +11.15%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-17)
20d stdev 3.950% daily ≈ 62.7% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9952 obs))
term struct 5d 1.594% · 20d 3.950% · 60d 2.995% · 120d 2.431% daily
vs easing-2024 avg 2.32× (3.950% vs 1.699% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-17)
ATR(14) 14.03
ATR% 2.92% (67th pct of own history, since 1986 (9958 obs))
range/ATR 101.6%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-17)
RVOL 0.75x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 26th pct of own history, since 1986 (9952 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-17)
high 553.72 (-13.25% from high) [2025-10-28, 293d ago]
low 349.20 (+37.56% from low) [2026-06-25, 53d ago]
drawdown -13.52% from all-time high, 382d ago (2025-07-31)
momentum (as of 2026-08-17)
RSI(14) 62.19 (76th pct of own history, since 1986 (9958 obs))
last overbought 18d ago (2026-07-30)
last oversold 53d ago (2026-06-25)
MACD (as of 2026-08-17)
MACD(12,26,9) +26.45 (above signal) signal +25.34 hist +1.11
returns (as of 2026-08-17)
5d return -5.08%
10d return -1.50%
20d return +19.40%
60d return +14.08%
120d return +23.48%
252d return -8.06%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.56% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.62%
tightening-2015 1.42%
ZIRP-2019 1.91%
tightening-2022 1.94%
easing-2024 1.70%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.34 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.19 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-17)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.70 corr +0.52 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.60 corr +0.53 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +15.35% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 +9.88% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 -27.80% rel (252d return)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.59 corr +0.36 (26w)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.71 corr +0.45 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (72 days)